← Explore · Market 565065
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
58.5% implied · bid 58.0¢ · ask 59.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 59.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 59.0¢ / 58.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,102
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,085 / $37,424
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score67.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2993503732763.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2993503732763.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 850d 21h.
Time to resolve850d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%