← Explore · Market 567688
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
31.0% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 32.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 32.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-15.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,241
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,069 / $2,316
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.37
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.80pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%