← Explore · Market 567688
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
48.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 49.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 49.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,916
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,531 / $4,597
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.44
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%