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← Explore · Market 567689

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 70/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,582
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$46,659 / $3,870
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score70.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.01
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth