← Explore · Market 601826
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22.7% implied · bid 22.6¢ · ask 22.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.7%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability22.7%
Bid / ask / mid22.6¢ / 22.7¢ / 22.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d+0.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 80/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$21,338
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$37,196 / $23,981
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score80.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 13 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.07
RSI (14, hourly)12.5
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 85d 22h.
Time to resolve85d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%