← Explore · Market 601827
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.7% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 0.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.6%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.7¢
Spread0.2¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-0.45pt
Change 7d+0.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$63,404
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$768 / $10,218
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.72
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 39d 23h.
Time to resolve39d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%