← Explore · Market 601835

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h-0.35pt

Change 7d-0.65pt

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$58,212

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$54 / $6,356

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score52.7 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.10pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 39d 19h.

Time to resolve39d 19h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%