← Explore · Market 601920
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,205
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$572 / $565
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.59
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 39d 22h.
Time to resolve39d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%