← Explore · Market 608540
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6.6% implied · bid 6.5¢ · ask 6.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.5%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability6.5%
Bid / ask / mid6.5¢ / 6.6¢ / 6.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d-2.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,746
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,215 / $7,122
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.44
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 66d 23h.
Time to resolve66d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%