← Explore · Market 608545

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

16.7% implied · bid 16.6¢ · ask 16.7¢

The market prices this at 16.7%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability16.7%

Bid / ask / mid16.6¢ / 16.7¢ / 16.7¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.6%)

Change 24h+0.75pt

Change 7d+1.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 65/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,466

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,020 / $3,384

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score65.2 / 100

RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.24

RSI (14, hourly)80.0

Realized vol 7d0.31pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 66d 23h.

Time to resolve66d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%