← Explore · Market 608547

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

61.5% implied · bid 61.4¢ · ask 61.5¢

The market prices this at 61.4%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability61.4%

Bid / ask / mid61.4¢ / 61.5¢ / 61.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+3.60pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28,971

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$86,474 / $70,738

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.45

RSI (14, hourly)48.5

Realized vol 7d0.44pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 66d 23h.

Time to resolve66d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%