← Explore · Market 608566
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,611
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,544 / $3,873
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 66d 23h.
Time to resolve66d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%