← Explore · Market 616902

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

78.5% implied · bid 78.4¢ · ask 78.5¢

The market prices this at 78.4%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability78.4%

Bid / ask / mid78.4¢ / 78.5¢ / 78.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d+1.05pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,537

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45,549 / $166,166

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.64

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.19pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 22h.

Time to resolve173d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%