← Explore · Market 616902

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

86.6% implied · bid 86.5¢ · ask 86.6¢

The market prices this at 86.5%, up 0.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability86.5%

Bid / ask / mid86.5¢ / 86.6¢ / 86.6¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+0.70pt

Change 7d+1.40pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$29,007

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$380,529 / $303,863

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.70

RSI (14, hourly)87.5

Realized vol 7d0.14pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%