← Explore · Market 616903
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,665
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,221 / $4,226
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score61.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.44
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 22h.
Time to resolve173d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%