← Explore · Market 616903

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢

The market prices this at 10.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%

Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14,225

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,991 / $21,509

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score59.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 18906339364814.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean18906339364814.86

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%