← Explore · Market 616904

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

3.6% implied · bid 3.5¢ · ask 3.8¢

The market prices this at 3.8%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.5¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.6¢

Spread0.3¢ (8.2%)

Change 24h+1.05pt

Change 7d+0.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,990

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,377 / $1,029

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.7 / 100

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.21

RSI (14, hourly)71.4

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 173d 22h.

Time to resolve173d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%