← Explore · Market 616904

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

2.5% implied · bid 2.5¢ · ask 2.6¢

The market prices this at 2.6%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.6%

Bid / ask / mid2.5¢ / 2.6¢ / 2.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (3.9%)

Change 24h-1.10pt

Change 7d-1.55pt

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20,748

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,767 / $4,122

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score52.9 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.29

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.07pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%