← Explore · Market 616905

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

1.9% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.0¢

The market prices this at 1.8%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.8%

Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.9¢

Spread0.1¢ (5.1%)

Change 24h+0.40pt

Change 7d-0.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$17,191

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,951 / $2,291

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.6 / 100

RSI 82 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.15

RSI (14, hourly)82.4

Realized vol 7d0.06pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 173d 22h.

Time to resolve173d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%