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← Explore · Market 616905

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.15pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,330
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$694 / $4,634
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.06
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth