← Explore · Market 628941

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

93.5% implied · bid 93.3¢ · ask 93.7¢

The market prices this at 93.3%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability93.3%

Bid / ask / mid93.3¢ / 93.7¢ / 93.5¢

Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d+3.55pt

Deep and tight (score 87/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,689

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39,378 / $38,645

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score87.0 / 100

RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.81

RSI (14, hourly)38.5

Realized vol 7d0.12pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 115d 21h.

Time to resolve115d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%