← Explore · Market 628947
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$61
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $542
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.30
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 115d 21h.
Time to resolve115d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%