← Explore · Market 629030
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
60.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 61.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,477
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,776 / $14,071
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score58.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.28
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%