← Explore · Market 629324
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
22.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 23.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,043
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$292 / $1,555
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 82 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.49
RSI (14, hourly)81.8
Realized vol 7d0.64pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%