← Explore · Market 629325
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
78.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 79.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 78.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 77% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$1,259
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,718 / $2,748
Imbalance77% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.30
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d0.54pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%