← Explore · Market 629583
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
87.5% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 87.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability87.0%
Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 85% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$1,586
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,060 / $1,146
Imbalance85% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%