← Explore · Market 629584
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,628
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$46 / $469
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.92
RSI (14, hourly)58.3
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%