← Explore · Market 630772
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
63.5% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 64.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 64.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability64.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,729
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,969 / $5,440
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score48.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.72
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d1.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%