← Explore · Market 630773
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
36.0% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 38.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 35.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability35.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 36.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (11.1%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-8.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,148
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$984 / $31,808
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.72
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d1.54pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%