← Explore · Market 630805
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
60.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 61.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$11,781
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23,099 / $8,786
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score60.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.64
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.42pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%