← Explore · Market 630806

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

The market prices this at 41.0%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability41.0%

Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)

Change 24h+2.50pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,330

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,077 / $21,849

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score57.0 / 100

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.76

RSI (14, hourly)83.3

Realized vol 7d0.33pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

No fixed resolution date.

Time to resolveno fixed date

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%