← Explore · Market 630963
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
49.5% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 50.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 49.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,102
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,439 / $11,877
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.59
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%