← Explore · Market 630963
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
45.0% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 46.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,600
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,432 / $2,252
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score44.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean7.76
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%