← Explore · Market 630964
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
55.5% implied · bid 55.0¢ · ask 56.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 56.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability56.0%
Bid / ask / mid55.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,660
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,676 / $6,761
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score49.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.02
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.18pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%