← Explore · Market 630964
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
49.5% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 50.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 49.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 49.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$48,564
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17,208 / $13,648
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score60.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.18
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%