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← Explore · Market 631044

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,637
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,122 / $2,147
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.13
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

No fixed resolution date.

Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth