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← Explore · Market 631045

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

92.0% implied · bid 91.0¢ · ask 93.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 91.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 92.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+5.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 60% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$3
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44,795 / $27,470
Imbalance60% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score76.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

No fixed resolution date.

Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth