← Explore · Market 631057
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
54.5% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 55.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 55.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability55.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 54.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,846
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,343 / $5,309
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score52.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.34
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
No fixed resolution date.
Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%