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← Explore · Market 631058

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

46.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 47.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 48.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 47.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,228
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$731 / $8,150
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.78
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

No fixed resolution date.

Time to resolveno fixed date
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth