← Explore · Market 637011
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4.7% implied · bid 4.6¢ · ask 4.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.7%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability4.7%
Bid / ask / mid4.6¢ / 4.7¢ / 4.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$52
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$707 / $1,953
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 45d 22h.
Time to resolve45d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%