← Explore · Market 663583

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 8.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+1.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$361,492

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$79,222 / $33,720

Imbalance13% bid

Large trades (>$1k)4

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 6.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean6.78

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 23h.

Time to resolve127d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%