← Explore · Market 663583

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Deep and tight (score 82/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$39,989

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31,046 / $43,427

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)6

Liquidity score82.2 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.13

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.26pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%