← Explore · Market 665218
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$36,853
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$268 / $118
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.24
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%