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← Explore · Market 665218

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$36,853
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$268 / $118
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.24
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth