← Explore · Market 665224

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

21.5% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

The market prices this at 22.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%

Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d-2.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,910

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,638 / $10,909

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score52.3 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.27

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.32pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%