← Explore · Market 665224
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,145
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,210 / $3,504
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.82
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%