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← Explore · Market 665246

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

9.3% implied · bid 8.9¢ · ask 9.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability9.9%
Bid / ask / mid8.9¢ / 9.7¢ / 9.3¢
Spread0.8¢ (8.6%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d-2.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,099
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$686 / $1,784
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.67
RSI (14, hourly)11.1
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h-0.60pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth