← Explore · Market 665258
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2.0% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.1¢ / 2.0¢
Spread0.2¢ (10.0%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d-0.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,026
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$858 / $866
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.80
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%