← Explore · Market 665266
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?
41.0% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 48.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, up 14.0pt over 24h, on a 14.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 41.0¢
Spread14.0¢ (34.1%)
Change 24h+14.00pt
Change 7d+9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,607
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 49 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.25
RSI (14, hourly)49.2
Realized vol 7d1.66pt
Change 1h+3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%