← Explore · Market 665374

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

The market prices this at 17.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability17.0%

Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (6.1%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$236,704

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$264,665 / $81,749

Imbalance34% bid

Large trades (>$1k)10

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.24

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 23h.

Time to resolve127d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%