← Explore · Market 665374

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

The market prices this at 16.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability16.0%

Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (6.1%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+3.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$161,878

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$95,226 / $51,019

Imbalance25% bid

Large trades (>$1k)10

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.65

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.41pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%