← Explore · Market 665472

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

9.8% implied · bid 8.2¢ · ask 11.5¢

The market prices this at 10.5%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 3.3¢ spread.

Implied probability10.5%

Bid / ask / mid8.2¢ / 11.5¢ / 9.8¢

Spread3.3¢ (33.5%)

Change 24h+0.15pt

Change 7d+5.35pt

Thin (score 34/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$43

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $47

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score33.5 / 100

RSI 51 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.44

RSI (14, hourly)50.6

Realized vol 7d0.54pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%