← Explore · Market 665473

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 11.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-4.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$547

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$134 / $51

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.08

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.19pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%