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← Explore · Market 666593

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

34.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 35.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 33.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 34.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+17.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,936
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,407 / $3,764
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.13
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d1.70pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth