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← Explore · Market 666596

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

74.5% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 76.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 74.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (4.0%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$713
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$558 / $261
Imbalance45% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.54
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d1.36pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth