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← Explore · Market 666608

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?

48.5% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 49.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 49.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+9.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,920
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,012 / $633
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.58
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth