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← Explore · Market 666611

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?

25.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 26.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$254
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$448 / $394
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.95
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.62pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth