← Explore · Market 676739
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
65.5% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 66.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 66.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability66.0%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 66.0¢ / 65.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,338
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,521 / $2,237
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%