← Explore · Market 676739

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

71.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 72.0¢

The market prices this at 72.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability72.0%

Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-6.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,768

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,103 / $5,026

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.57

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.63pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%