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Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

14.0% implied · bid 13.6¢ · ask 14.4¢

The market prices this at 14.4%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability14.4%

Bid / ask / mid13.6¢ / 14.4¢ / 14.0¢

Spread0.8¢ (5.7%)

Change 24h+0.45pt

Change 7d+2.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,005

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,381 / $2,213

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.3 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.22

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.27pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%