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Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

12.7% implied · bid 12.6¢ · ask 12.7¢

The market prices this at 12.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability12.6%

Bid / ask / mid12.6¢ / 12.7¢ / 12.7¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.8%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-1.30pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$230

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,289 / $211

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.22

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.56pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%