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Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7d+1.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,509

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,854 / $790

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.8 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.90

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.17pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%