← Explore · Market 676746

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0.9% implied · bid 0.7¢ · ask 1.0¢

The market prices this at 0.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.9%

Bid / ask / mid0.7¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.9¢

Spread0.3¢ (35.3%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,026

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,880 / $497

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.78

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%