← Explore · Market 676746

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

2.3% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 2.4¢

The market prices this at 2.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%

Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 2.4¢ / 2.3¢

Spread0.3¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$502

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,773 / $147

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.39

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.06pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%